June added just 57,000 jobs. Will the July report top 100,000 when it lands Aug 7?
72% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 32 predictions cast.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on August 7, 2026, that U.S. nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 in July, missing the 100,000 threshold in question and falling far short of the roughly 83,000 gain economists had forecast. Employment declined for the first time in several months, driven by a loss of 53,000 government jobs, only partially offset by a 30,000 increase in private-sector employment. Retail, leisure and hospitality also showed softness, while healthcare hiring slowed from its usual pace. The outright decline followed a downwardly revised gain of just 20,000 jobs in June, underscoring a broader slowdown in hiring momentum through the summer. Average hourly earnings rose 3.2% year-over-year, the smallest annual gain since May 2021, adding to signs of a cooling labor market. Predict Six's community leaned toward this outcome, with only 28% predicting the July report would top 100,000 jobs added, meaning the 72% majority correctly anticipated the report would fall short of that mark.