November 10, 2026

4 resolutions on this day.

๐Ÿ”ญ Discovery Resolved NO

Bitcoin has fallen four straight weeks to about $76,500. Does it close below $74,000 before Nov 10?

Community missed this one โ€” 75% predicted YES.

Bitcoin did not close below $74,000 before Nov. 10, holding above that level even as it extended a multi-week slide. Daily price data shows bitcoin closed around $75,330 on Nov. 9 after dipping to an intraday low near $73,740 earlier that day, before buyers stepped back in. The cryptocurrency had fallen for four consecutive weeks amid a broader crypto selloff tied to risk-off sentiment in equity markets, large outflows from bitcoin exchange-traded funds, and fallout from a $6.3 billion hack at Binance in late October.

The decline had pushed bitcoin well off its highs for the year, and some analysts warned of further downside toward $69,000-$70,000 if key technical support gave way. Instead, buying interest emerged in the $74,000-$76,000 band, a zone several analysts identified as roughly the average cost basis for short-term holders, and the price stabilized rather than extending its losses through the $74,000 threshold on a closing basis.

The Predict Six community had put 75% odds on bitcoin closing below $74,000, substantially overestimating how far the slide would extend. The actual price action showed support holding just above that level through the resolution window, with intraday dips below $74,000 not translating into a daily close under it.

๐Ÿˆ Sports Resolved NO

Carson Wentz starts for the 6-1 Vikings against the 6-1 Bills on Nov 9. Can Minnesota win?

80% of users predicted NO โ€” community got this one right.

The Buffalo Bills beat the Minnesota Vikings 23-6 on Monday Night Football at U.S. Bank Stadium on Nov. 9, improving to 7-1 while the Vikings fell to 6-2, according to ESPN's game recap. Carson Wentz, starting in place of injured Kyler Murray, struggled badly, completing 8 of 25 passes for 81 yards with three turnovers, including an interception by Buffalo's Terrel Bernard and a high backward pass that resulted in a lost fumble near midfield. He was replaced by Max Brosmer late in the fourth quarter.

Bills quarterback Josh Allen threw a go-ahead touchdown to tight end Keleki Latu with 44 seconds left in the first half, and running back James Cook carried 31 times for 107 yards and a late touchdown to seal the win. Minnesota's offense managed only field goals all game, and the loss was its second straight, intensifying scrutiny of the team's quarterback situation just before the NFL trade deadline.

The result matched Buffalo's best start to a season since 1993.

The Predict Six community had given Minnesota only 20% odds of winning, correctly anticipating that Wentz and a banged-up Vikings offense would struggle against Allen and the Bills.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Markets Resolved NO

Take-Two guided to $8.0โ€“8.2 billion in net bookings. Does it raise that forecast on Nov 9, 10 days before GTA 6 arrives?

Community missed this one โ€” 60% predicted YES.

Take-Two Interactive reported fiscal second-quarter results on Nov. 9 and held its full-year net bookings guidance at $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion rather than raising it, according to the company's earnings release and SEC filing. Net bookings fell 18% year-over-year to $1.60 billion, slightly below the company's own $1.62-$1.67 billion guidance for the quarter, as underperformance from NBA 2K27 offset other titles. GAAP net revenue was $1.50 billion, down from $1.77 billion a year earlier, while the GAAP net loss narrowed to $54.0 million from $133.9 million.

CEO Strauss Zelnick noted that Grand Theft Auto VI's Nov. 19 launch was ten days away and reaffirmed the company's existing full-year targets, including operating cash flow above $1 billion and a return to a net cash position by fiscal year-end. Adjusted per-share earnings beat Wall Street estimates despite the bookings miss, helped by lower costs.Holding rather than raising guidance just before GTA 6's release reflects Take-Two's established practice of not building pre-release sales expectations into official forecasts until a title has actually shipped and real performance data exists.The community had put 60% odds on a guidance raise, overestimating the company's willingness to adjust its outlook this close to launch.

๐ŸŒ World Resolved YES

All nine aboard died when a Learjet 60 went down in Palm Beach County. Will the NTSB report recovering its voice recorder by Nov 9?

Community missed this one โ€” 62% predicted NO.

The National Transportation Safety Board recovered the cockpit voice recorder from the wreckage of a Learjet 60 that crashed near Greenacres, Florida, on Nov. 1, killing all nine people aboard. The agency announced the recovery on Monday, Nov. 9, saying the device was found at the initial impact site and is being evaluated at the NTSB's Vehicle Recorders Laboratory in Washington, D.C. It remains unknown whether the recorder was damaged or whether any usable audio can be extracted from it.

The recovery followed more than a week of work at a debris field that stretched for miles; pieces of the aircraft's left elevator were found between 1.3 and 3.8 miles from the main crash site, consistent with the NTSB's earlier assessment that the jet broke apart in flight before impact. The aircraft had departed Austin-Bergstrom International Airport in Texas bound for North Eleuthera in the Bahamas and encountered severe weather over South Florida before going down.

The NTSB has not released a timeline for determining a probable cause. A preliminary report is expected within weeks, while a final determination in crashes like this typically takes more than a year.

The Predict Six community put only 38% odds on the recorder being recovered by Nov. 9, underestimating how quickly investigators would locate and extract the device despite the difficult, water-logged crash site.