October 26, 2026

6 resolutions on this day.

๐ŸŽฌ Culture Resolved YES

'Clayface' heads into release with presales 80% behind 'Supergirl.' Can it still top the domestic box office Oct 23-25?

Community missed this one โ€” 62% predicted NO.

DC Studios' 'Clayface' topped the domestic box office for the October 23-25, 2026 weekend despite entering release with presales reportedly 80 percent behind comparable DC title 'Supergirl.' Deadline estimated the James Gunn-produced horror-tinged villain feature earned roughly $24 million over the three days from about 3,458 theaters, with a Friday-to-Sunday breakdown of approximately $10.6 million, $7.8 million, and $5.6 million. Its closest competitor, A24's documentary 'You Can See Everything,' held strongly in its second weekend with about $19.5 million to $20 million but could not overtake Clayface for first place. The film carried a middling 59 score on Metacritic, and pre-release tracking had varied widely, with some early forecasts placing its opening as low as $15 million to $20 million. Its number-one finish reflected both the absence of major new wide releases that weekend and sustained interest in the DC Universe slate under Gunn's direction, which outweighed the soft presale signal and mixed reviews. The community got this one wrong: only 38 percent of voters predicted Clayface would top the weekend chart, with the majority betting against it based on the weak early sales data, making the film's win a mild upset relative to pre-release crowd sentiment.

๐ŸŽฌ Culture Resolved NO

Jay-Z reportedly picked himself to headline the Super Bowl LXI halftime show. Does the NFL confirm him by Oct 25?

Community missed this one โ€” 67% predicted YES.

The NFL had not confirmed Jay-Z as the Super Bowl LXI halftime performer by October 25, 2026. Puck's Dave Brooks reported on October 20 that multiple sources said Jay-Z had picked himself to headline the February 14, 2027, show at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, with Miley Cyrus and Justin Bieber reportedly having been considered as alternatives before that decision. Representatives for the NFL and Roc Nation, which has produced the halftime show in partnership with the league since 2019, did not respond to requests for comment on the report at the time it was published. No formal league announcement followed in the days after, leaving the pick unofficial through the October 25 deadline. The NFL has historically waited until closer to the Super Bowl, or used its own promotional moments, to make halftime announcements rather than confirming reports as they emerge, and this instance followed that pattern. The community got this one wrong: 67 percent of voters predicted the NFL would confirm Jay-Z by October 25, but the league's silence on the report meant the question resolved no. The episode is part of a broader run-up to Super Bowl LXI in which halftime speculation around Jay-Z, Roc Nation's role, and potential performers has outpaced any official word from the NFL.

๐ŸŽฌ Culture Resolved NO

Trackers put 'Clayface' between $23 million and $33 million. Does DC's horror reboot clear $28 million domestically Oct 23-25?

70% of users predicted NO โ€” community got this one right.

DC Studios' 'Clayface' did not clear $28 million domestically in its October 23-25, 2026 opening weekend. Deadline reported an estimated three-day total of roughly $24 million from about 3,458 theaters, within Deadline's own pre-weekend forecast of $20 million to $25 million but below the wider $23 million-to-$33 million range that some trackers had circulated earlier in October. The James Gunn-produced film, a horror-tinged take on the DC villain, drew a middling 59 score on Metacritic, a reception that likely capped its upside even as it finished first for the weekend. Its closest rival was A24's documentary 'You Can See Everything,' which earned a strong $19.5 million to $20 million in its second weekend, keeping the race for the top spot competitive through Sunday estimates. Clayface reportedly cost around $40 million to produce, so the domestic opening alone recovered roughly 60 percent of that budget. The community correctly anticipated this outcome: only 30 percent of voters predicted the film would clear $28 million, and the majority's skepticism was borne out once final weekend estimates landed several million dollars below that mark.

๐ŸŽฌ Culture Resolved YES

DC's clay monster drew a 59 on Metacritic. Will Clayface still clear $20M domestically over the Oct 23โ€“25 weekend?

Community missed this one โ€” 54% predicted NO.

DC Studios' 'Clayface' cleared $20 million domestically in its October 23-25, 2026 opening weekend despite a middling 59 score on Metacritic. Deadline reported the James Gunn-produced horror-tinged villain feature earned roughly $24 million over the three days from about 3,458 theaters, with a Friday-to-Sunday breakdown of approximately $10.6 million, $7.8 million, and $5.6 million, finishing at the top of the weekend chart. The result beat some earlier tracking that had placed the film's range as low as $15 million to $20 million, helped by curiosity around the DC Universe's villain-centered entry and the absence of major competing new wide releases that weekend. Its closest competitor was A24's documentary 'You Can See Everything,' which added roughly $19.5 million to $20 million in its second weekend, keeping the race for the top spot close. Clayface reportedly cost around $40 million to produce, meaning the domestic opening alone recovered roughly 60 percent of its budget. The community was split and ultimately wrong on this threshold: only 46 percent of voters predicted the film would clear $20 million, while a narrow majority bet it would fall short, a miss that reflected lingering skepticism tied to the film's weak critical reviews heading into release.

๐Ÿˆ Sports Resolved NO

Kansas City is 5-0 and the defending champion Seahawks just lost in Denver. Can the Chiefs survive Seattle on Oct 25?

67% of users predicted NO โ€” community got this one right.

The Kansas City Chiefs did not survive Seattle, losing 20-3 to the Seahawks on Sunday Night Football on October 25, 2026, at Lumen Field. The defeat was Kansas City's first of the season, dropping the Chiefs from 5-0, while Seattle improved to 4-3. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes finished 19-of-33 passing for 165 yards, threw an interception, and did not throw a touchdown. Kicker Harrison Butker accounted for all of Kansas City's points, missing a 58-yard attempt before halftime. Seattle built its lead behind quarterback Sam Darnold, who threw for 257 yards and a touchdown, and a defense that limited Kansas City's offense throughout. The loss came one week after Seattle itself had lost to Denver, a result cited heading into the matchup as a reason to expect Seattle to rebound at home. The outcome snapped Kansas City's perfect start and reinforced Seattle as a legitimate contender in a competitive AFC and NFC landscape. The community largely got this one right: only 33 percent of voters predicted the Chiefs would survive, meaning the majority correctly anticipated Seattle's win. The result added to a growing list of upsets this NFL season in which undefeated teams have stumbled against divisional or conference opponents on the road.

๐ŸŒ World Resolved NO

Iran says it is still at the table after seven months of war. Will the U.S. and Iran announce a ceasefire by Oct 25?

100% of users predicted NO โ€” community got this one right.

The United States and Iran did not announce a ceasefire by October 25, 2026. The war, which has run for roughly seven months, has cycled through brief truces that collapsed under renewed fighting. An initial ceasefire brokered by Pakistan took effect on April 8, 2026, but President Trump declared it over by July after Iranian strikes on shipping near the Strait of Hormuz prompted U.S. retaliation. Negotiations continued intermittently through the fall without producing a new agreement; Russian President Vladimir Putin offered to help broker a settlement in early October, a sign that Washington and Tehran had not resolved the conflict on their own. U.S. and Iranian officials remained engaged in talks on a stalled peace framework, but no ceasefire framework was finalized or announced in the window leading up to October 25. The community correctly anticipated this outcome: every voter (0 percent yes) predicted no ceasefire would be reached by the deadline. The result fits a recurring pattern throughout 2026, in which ceasefire announcements and extensions have repeatedly broken down within weeks, with the two sides unable to resolve underlying disputes over Iran's nuclear program and access to the Strait of Hormuz.