October 11, 2026

5 resolutions on this day.

🏈 Sports Resolved YES

Drew Rasmussen one-hit the Yankees in ALDS Game 1 and Aaron Judge is still out. Will New York be eliminated by Oct 10?

Community missed this one β€” 67% predicted NO.

The Tampa Bay Rays eliminated the New York Yankees with a three-game sweep in the American League Division Series, clinching Game 3 by a 4-3 score on Oct. 7 at Yankee Stadium. Victor Mesa Jr. hit a go-ahead, two-run home run off Griffin Jax in the sixth inning, and Ryan Vilade also went deep for Tampa Bay. New York's last threat came later that inning, when Anthony Volpe appeared to tie the game with a shot into the left-field stands, but a fan reaching over the wall forced a video review; umpires ruled the ball would not have cleared the fence and awarded Volpe an RBI double instead, leaving the Rays' lead intact. Tampa Bay had won Game 1 1-0 on a third-inning homer by Jonathan Aranda off Yankees ace Gerrit Cole, then took Game 2 5-2 after New York committed four errors. The sweep was the first in Yankees franchise history in a best-of-five Division Series and came with Aaron Judge sidelined. The community underestimated Tampa Bay, with only 33% of voters predicting a Yankees elimination by Oct. 10, but the Rays finished the job three days early. Tampa Bay, which entered the postseason with the American League's best record, advanced to host the ALCS opener on Oct. 12 against the winner of the Guardians-White Sox series.

πŸ”­ Discovery Resolved YES

The Atlantic has had eight named storms and not one hurricane. Will forecasters name Isaias in the Gulf by Oct 11?

Community missed this one β€” 67% predicted NO.

Tropical Storm Isaias formed in the Gulf of Mexico on Oct. 7, becoming the Atlantic season's ninth named storm, with the National Hurricane Center reporting maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. Forecasters expected rapid strengthening, and by Oct. 8 Isaias had intensified into a Category 2 hurricane, the season's first β€” a milestone that arrived later in the year than almost any season on record, nearly tying the latest first-hurricane date, set in 1905. The storm formed in warm Gulf waters off eastern Mexico and tracked toward the northern Gulf Coast, with hurricane warnings issued from Ocean Springs, Mississippi, to Florida's Bay/Gulf County line and landfall expected near the Alabama-Florida border. The hurricane center warned of damaging wind, storm surge and flash flooding, with forecasts of 3 to 7 inches of rain and locally up to 10 inches near the point of landfall. About 63% of Gulf oil production was temporarily shut in as producers evacuated platforms ahead of the storm. The community had been skeptical a storm would be named in this window, with only 33% voting yes, making this one of the day's larger misses relative to the outcome. The slow start to the Atlantic hurricane season, followed by a sudden late intensification once Isaias developed, continued a pattern of unusually quiet activity punctuated by rapid escalation.

🏈 Sports Resolved YES

Philadelphia is 2-2 and ranks 29th in yards per play. Can the 3-1 Jaguars beat the Eagles in London on Oct 11?

80% of users predicted YES β€” community got this one right.

The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Philadelphia Eagles 19-17 on Oct. 11 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, winning on Cam Little's 57-yard field goal as time expired. Philadelphia had taken a 17-16 lead on Jake Elliott's 48-yard field goal with eight seconds remaining, but Ameer Abdullah's ensuing kickoff return put Jacksonville in range, and Little converted from long range for the win. Philadelphia led 14-7 at halftime before Jacksonville tightened the score with a Little field goal and a late Parker Washington touchdown that briefly put the Jaguars ahead 16-14; the Eagles answered to retake the lead before the game's final sequence. The Jaguars improved to 4-1, continuing a strong start to their season, while the Eagles fell to 2-3 with their third straight loss, playing without Saquon Barkley and DeVonta Smith. The community favored Jacksonville heavily, with 80% voting yes, and the pick held. The result extended a rough stretch for Philadelphia's offense, which has ranked among the league's least efficient by yards per play this season, while Jacksonville's win in a high-profile international game added to a season that has them positioned near the top of the AFC South standings.

🏈 Sports Resolved NO

The White Sox lost 100 games two years running and just took ALDS Game 1 in Cleveland. Will they close out the Guardians by Oct 10?

Community missed this one β€” 75% predicted YES.

The Cleveland Guardians eliminated the Chicago White Sox with a 2-0 win in Game 5 of the American League Division Series on Oct. 10 at Progressive Field, completing a comeback from an 0-2 series deficit. Chicago had won the first two games in Cleveland before the Guardians swept the next three, including a 9-5 Game 4 victory that forced the decisive finale. In Game 5, Gavin Williams struck out 12 over 5 2/3 scoreless innings, and Cleveland's pitching staff combined for 21 strikeouts, a record for a nine-inning game in MLB history, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. JosΓ© RamΓ­rez's two-run homer in the fourth inning off Sean Burke supplied the only runs the Guardians needed, while the White Sox managed just three hits. Cleveland became only the 11th team of 96 to rally from an 0-2 deficit in a best-of-five series, and the first since the 2017 Yankees. The comeback capped a late-season reversal: Chicago led the AL Central by 5 1/2 games as of Aug. 16, but Cleveland went an AL-best 25-12 down the stretch while the White Sox went 19-20. The community strongly expected Chicago to close out the series, with 75% voting yes, making this one of the day's bigger upsets relative to crowd expectations. The Guardians advanced to face Tampa Bay in the ALCS.

πŸ”­ Discovery Resolved NO

Google promised Gemini 3.5 Pro in June and has missed three target dates. Will it launch the model by Oct 10?

Community missed this one β€” 53% predicted YES.

Google did not ship Gemini 3.5 Pro by Oct. 10, extending a delay that began when the company missed its original June target. Bloomberg reported July 16 that the model remained months behind schedule after a late training-data update failed to deliver the coding-performance gains Google wanted, and a company spokesperson said July 21 that the model was in partner testing and would launch "as soon as it's ready," without naming a new date. Google's August "Made by Google" event came and went with no 3.5 Pro reveal. Through the fall, Google instead shipped a string of smaller Gemini Flash updates β€” four in 106 days, according to Fortune β€” while the flagship Pro model stayed unreleased, and executives increasingly pointed to a larger successor, Gemini 4, which CEO Sundar Pichai said in July the company had begun training. By September, public attention around Google's roadmap had shifted to Gemini 4's timeline rather than any remaining plan for 3.5 Pro. The community leaned toward a launch, with 53% voting yes, but the model never materialized by the deadline. The episode fits a broader pattern of 2026 frontier-model slippage, with Google repeatedly setting and missing internal release targets for its flagship model even as competitors continued shipping rival systems on schedule.