September 3, 2026

5 resolutions on this day.

๐ŸŽฌ Culture Resolved NO

'Dancing with the Stars' reveals its full Season 35 cast Sept 2. Will a current or former NFL player be in the lineup?

Community missed this one โ€” 70% predicted YES.

ABC revealed the full 16-contestant cast for 'Dancing with the Stars' Season 35 on Good Morning America on September 2, 2026. The lineup includes actress Julia Stiles, dancer and actress Jenna Dewan, actress Tatyana Ali, Paralympic gold medalist Ezra Frech, Hanson musician Taylor Hanson, Olympic figure skater Amber Glenn, 'Bachelorette' alum Tyler Cameron, and chef Giada De Laurentiis, among others, according to Deseret News and Yahoo Entertainment. Alfonso Ribeiro returns as host with Julianne Hough co-hosting, and pro Sharna Burgess rejoins the show after a season away.

No current or former NFL player appears among the 16 celebrities, despite speculation ahead of the reveal. The closest crossover figures were athletes from other sports: Frech in Paralympic track and field and Glenn in figure skating, plus Cameron, a former college football player at Florida Atlantic who never played in the NFL.

The community had priced a 70% chance an NFL player would be included, but the actual cast skewed toward television and music personalities rather than football, and the market got this one wrong. The gap reflects how a season's confirmed cast list can diverge from pre-reveal rumors that circulate once producers begin teasing individual names in the weeks before the official announcement.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Markets Resolved YES

Will Broadcom's AI chip revenue top its own $16 billion forecast when it reports Sept 2?

65% of users predicted YES โ€” community got this one right.

Broadcom reported fiscal third-quarter 2026 results on September 2, beating Wall Street estimates with adjusted earnings of $3.32 per share on $29.59 billion in revenue, versus forecasts of $3.21 and $29.25 billion. AI semiconductor revenue, the metric tied to this question, came in at $16.7 billion, above the company's own $16 billion guidance issued the prior quarter, according to CNBC and the Motley Fool.

The beat was driven by continued custom AI chip demand from large cloud providers building out data center capacity, a trend Broadcom has ridden through 2026 as hyperscalers diversify their AI silicon supply beyond Nvidia GPUs. Broadcom's forward guidance extended the story: it forecast $34.8 billion in total revenue and $21.7 billion in AI semiconductor revenue for the fiscal fourth quarter, and projected $58 billion in full-year AI chip revenue, with visibility to $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028.

Despite clearing its own forecast, Broadcom shares were volatile in the immediate aftermath as investors weighed the modest size of the quarterly beat against the scale of the longer-term AI spending story.

The community had priced a 65% chance Broadcom would clear its own $16 billion bar, and the market got it right: the company topped its guidance as reported in its September 2 earnings release.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Markets Resolved NO

Nvidia has not confirmed the $12.9 billion Hugging Face deal reported Aug 26. Will either company announce it by Sept 2?

Community missed this one โ€” 52% predicted YES.

Reports that Nvidia had agreed to buy AI platform Hugging Face for roughly $12.9 billion first surfaced on August 26, 2026, but neither company issued a formal, on-the-record confirmation by the September 2 deadline this question tracked. Nvidia filed an 8-K with the SEC on September 2 disclosing a definitive agreement, but the filing was not widely reported until September 3, when CNBC and other outlets confirmed the deal's terms.

The finalized agreement showed Nvidia paying about $11.9 billion to Hugging Face shareholders plus roughly $1 billion in employee retention equity, with the deal expected to close in the first half of 2027 pending regulatory approval. Hugging Face CEO Clem Delangue told CNBC that his company had approached Nvidia's Jensen Huang about the deal weeks earlier, tying the acquisition to Nvidia's push for closer ties to the open-source AI developer community after Hugging Face suffered a high-profile security breach earlier in the summer.

The community had priced a narrow 52% chance of confirmation by the deadline, and the outcome landed on the No side by a matter of hours: the deal became public knowledge essentially right after the question's cutoff, illustrating how sensitive this kind of near-term timing market can be to disclosure logistics rather than to whether the underlying deal was real.

๐ŸŽฌ Culture Resolved YES

Closing arguments start Aug 31 in the Tupac Shakur murder trial. Will jurors convict Duane 'Keffe D' Davis before Sept 4?

75% of users predicted YES โ€” community got this one right.

A Clark County, Nevada jury convicted Duane 'Keffe D' Davis, 63, of first-degree murder with a deadly weapon on September 1, 2026, for orchestrating the 1996 drive-by shooting that killed rapper Tupac Shakur. Jurors deliberated for less than three hours after an 11-day trial in Las Vegas, according to NPR and Time.

Prosecutors did not allege Davis fired the fatal shots but argued he directed the attack after members of Shakur's entourage beat his nephew in a Las Vegas casino hours before the September 7, 1996 shooting. Davis, a former leader of the South Side Compton Crips, was the only person ever charged in Shakur's killing, a case that went unsolved for nearly three decades until Las Vegas police built a case partly around Davis's own public statements, including admissions in a later memoir, implicating himself in planning the attack.

Davis faces a maximum sentence of life without parole at sentencing, scheduled for October 13. He has said he intends to appeal.

The community had priced a 75% chance of conviction before closing arguments concluded, and the outcome matched: jurors returned a guilty verdict well within the question's window, closing out one of hip-hop's longest-unresolved murder cases.

๐ŸŒ World Resolved YES

A glacier collapse in Tibet sent a wall of water into Nepal, leaving more than 800 missing. Will Nepal's confirmed death toll top 600 on Sept 3?

84% of users predicted YES โ€” community got this one right.

A glacial lake in the Himalayas, fed by a collapsing glacier on the Tibetan side of the border, burst and sent a wall of water and debris down into Nepal's river valleys in late August 2026, sweeping away villages, bridges, and roads. By early September, Nepal's confirmed death toll had climbed past 1,100, far exceeding the 600-person threshold in this question, according to ABC News. Thousands more remained missing, including hundreds of foreign nationals, as more than 21,000 security personnel searched debris fields that in some cases carried bodies more than 150 miles downstream into India.

The flood was triggered by a sudden glacial lake outburst: meltwater and rock pent behind unstable ice gave way after a period of intense summer melt, a hazard scientists have warned is intensifying across the Himalayas as glaciers retreat. Both Nepal and China's Tibet Autonomous Region reported casualties, with search-and-rescue operations continuing for more than a week after the initial collapse.

The community had priced an 84% chance the toll would top 600, and the market got it right: official counts blew past that mark within days of the disaster, underscoring how fast-moving mass-casualty events like this one tend to resolve toward the more severe end of early estimates.