July 9, 2026

Pending review.

No NATO member publicly endorsed President Trump's call for U.S. control of Greenland during the alliance's summit in Ankara, Turkey, in early July 2026. Trump told reporters Greenland "should be controlled by the United States, not by Denmark," and suggested the U.S. could withdraw troops from Europe if allies kept resisting the idea.

Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen rejected the proposal directly, saying Denmark was "ready to defend every inch of NATO including our own territory" and that Greenland is "not for sale." French President Emmanuel Macron said he did not believe the United States would attempt to seize the territory, citing NATO's mutual-defense commitments among allies.

Rather than backing Trump's Greenland demand, NATO instead highlighted new defense-spending commitments, unveiling military procurement deals worth billions of dollars as evidence that European allies and Canada had met calls for greater burden-sharing, having added a combined $1.2 trillion in defense spending since 2017.

The community had priced only a 14% chance of any NATO country siding with Trump on Greenland, correctly anticipating that the territorial claim would draw unified pushback rather than support. The result matched that expectation: no ally endorsed U.S. control of Greenland.

Karolina Muchova defeated seventh-seeded Coco Gauff 6-2, 1-6, 7-6(10) in the Wimbledon women's semifinals on Centre Court on July 9, 2026, ending Gauff's run at the All England Club. Muchova saved a match point at 8-9 in the deciding-set tiebreak before closing it out 12-10, advancing to her second career Grand Slam final.

Gauff had a chance to close out the match in the tiebreak but hit a forehand drop shot into the net at a critical juncture, allowing Muchova to escape and eventually convert. The roughly three-hour contest was played in hot, sweltering conditions.

With the win, Muchova advanced to face Linda Nosková, who beat Marta Kostyuk in the other semifinal, setting up an all-Czech Wimbledon final.

The community had heavily favored Gauff, with 91% predicting she would beat the tenth-seeded Muchova, reflecting Gauff's status as the higher seed and pre-match favorite. The outcome resolved no: Muchova's tiebreak escape overturned the expected result, marking one of the more lopsided community misses of this Wimbledon tournament.

PepsiCo reported second-quarter 2026 earnings on July 9, missing Wall Street's adjusted earnings-per-share estimate. The company posted adjusted EPS of $2.20, one cent below the $2.21 analyst consensus tracked by CNBC, even as net revenue of $24.18 billion beat expectations and rose 6.4% year-over-year.

The shortfall was driven by softness in PepsiCo's North American food and beverage business, where the company's leadership pointed to tightening U.S. consumer budgets amid ongoing inflationary pressure on staples such as snacks and soda. International divisions, including Asia Pacific Foods and Europe/Middle East/Africa operations, posted organic volume gains and were the primary source of overall growth, partially offsetting the domestic weakness.

Shares fell more than 1% in premarket trading following the report. PepsiCo maintained its full-year guidance of 4% to 6% core constant-currency EPS growth despite the quarterly miss.

Only 40% of the community had predicted a miss, with most bettors expecting PepsiCo to clear the consensus bar despite the 'MAHA'-era backdrop of intensifying scrutiny on sugar- and salt-heavy snack and beverage portfolios. The result confirmed the minority view: a U.S. consumer pullback, not international performance, was the swing factor behind the miss.

The Rolling Stones did not confirm formal 2027 tour plans before releasing their 25th studio album, Foreign Tongues, on July 10, 2026. In a July 7 interview, frontman Mick Jagger said the band hopes to tour behind the new record, stating, "I don't think we'll be touring this year, but I hope to tour next year and I hope to do it as soon as possible." That fell short of a confirmed tour announcement with dates, venues, or a booking timeline.

Jagger also ruled out a residency-style run of shows, the format Harry Styles has used, saying the band intends a traditional multi-city outing instead. Guitarist Keith Richards had earlier downplayed the prospect for 2026, saying only "we can talk next year." No tour dates, ticket sales, or formal itinerary were announced as of the album's July 10 release.

The community had priced this at 63% likely to resolve yes, anticipating that Jagger's public enthusiasm would translate into a concrete announcement timed to the album rollout. Instead, the band's comments remained aspirational rather than confirmed, and the question resolved no. The gap between vague statements of intent and an actual tour confirmation with dates and cities accounts for the miss.