June 12, 2026

5 resolutions on this day.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Markets Resolved YES

Will SpaceX close on its first day of public trading above Musk's target price of $135 per share?

69% of users predicted YES โ€” community got this one right.

SpaceX shares closed at approximately $161 on June 12, 2026, the company's first day of public trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX โ€” about 19 percent above the $135 IPO price Musk had set as his target. SpaceX had priced the offering at $135 per share on the evening of June 11 and opened trading the following morning at $150 before climbing further through the session.

The 19 percent first-day gain reflected strong institutional and retail demand for a company that had operated privately since its 2002 founding. SpaceX's market capitalization exceeded $2 trillion at close, making the debut the largest IPO in U.S. stock market history by that measure. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq each rose on the same session, providing a favorable broad-market backdrop for the listing.

SpaceX's pre-IPO valuation in private secondary market transactions had been rising steadily through early 2026, and institutional investors oversubscribed the offering before it priced. The strong first-day close confirmed demand that had been building for months. The community correctly anticipated a close above $135, with 69 percent voting yes.

๐ŸŽฌ Culture Resolved NO

Will Spielberg's Disclosure Day open with a Tomatometer (Critics) score of 95% or higher on Friday?

Community missed this one โ€” 67% predicted YES.

Steven Spielberg's science fiction film Disclosure Day opened in theaters on June 12, 2026, with a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of approximately 84 to 89 percent โ€” falling short of the 95 percent threshold the question required. The film, starring Emily Blunt, drew broadly favorable critical notices but did not reach the near-unanimous acclaim the question demanded.

Among Spielberg's films dealing with extraterrestrial subjects, Disclosure Day ranked third on Rotten Tomatoes behind E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial (99 percent) and Close Encounters of the Third Kind (91 percent). Multiple critics highlighted Blunt's performance as the film's strongest element, with several reviews describing it as among her best career work.

The 95 percent threshold represents a high bar; only a small fraction of wide-release films from major directors reach it. The community had broadly anticipated the film clearing it, with 67 percent voting yes โ€” the prediction proved incorrect as the final Tomatometer settled roughly 6 to 11 percentage points below the mark.

๐Ÿ› Politics Resolved NO

Will the House hold a vote on the proposed Trump $250 bill before June 15? It needs their approval.

74% of users predicted NO โ€” community got this one right.

The House of Representatives did not hold a floor vote on H.R. 1761, the Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act, before the June 15 deadline. The legislation, which would authorize the Treasury to issue a $250 denomination note featuring President Trump's portrait, remained in committee without advancing to a floor vote.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent publicly unveiled a proposed design for the $250 note at a White House briefing on May 28, 2026, signaling the administration's interest in the proposal. However, current federal law prohibits living individuals from appearing on U.S. currency, meaning Congress would first need to amend that statute before printing could begin. House minority leadership, including Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, voiced opposition to the measure.

The House's legislative calendar in May and June was dominated by the budget reconciliation package known as the One Big Beautiful Bill, which consumed the floor schedule through the same window. H.R. 1761, introduced by Rep. Joe Wilson (R-SC) as a stand-alone bill, was not folded into that larger vehicle and did not advance. The community correctly anticipated no vote, with 74 percent voting no.

๐Ÿˆ Sports Resolved NO

Will the next Hurricanes-Golden Knight game have at least 8 total goals? Ave of first 4 gms is 8.25!

61% of users predicted NO โ€” community got this one right.

The Carolina Hurricanes defeated the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2 in Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final on June 12, 2026, played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh. The six total goals fell well short of the eight-goal threshold the question required, even as the series had averaged 8.25 goals across its first four games.

Andrei Svechnikov scored twice on the power play for Carolina, while Jordan Staal and Sebastian Aho added goals. Vegas's Pavel Dorofeyev converted a power play goal among the Golden Knights' two tallies. The victory gave the Hurricanes a 3-2 series lead, putting them within one win of their first Stanley Cup championship.

Game 5 marked a sharp defensive turn from the series' earlier high-scoring pattern. Both teams tightened their structure in a pivotal away game for Vegas, with Carolina's goaltending and penalty kill limiting offensive opportunities throughout. The community correctly anticipated a sub-8-goal outcome, with 61 percent voting no.

๐Ÿ“Œ Technology Resolved YES

Will Musk achieve TRILLIONAIRE status after the market close on SpaceX's first day of trading?

78% of users predicted YES โ€” community got this one right.

Elon Musk became the first person in history to cross $1 trillion in personal net worth on June 12, 2026, the day SpaceX began public trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX. SpaceX had priced its initial public offering at $135 per share the prior evening and opened trading the following morning at $150, before closing at approximately $161 โ€” a gain of roughly 19 percent on its debut session. The first-day close gave the company a market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion, making it the largest IPO in stock market history.

Because Musk owns roughly 40 percent of SpaceX shares, the first-day closing price pushed his estimated personal net worth to approximately $1.1 trillion. Before the IPO, his fortune had been valued at about $813 billion, concentrated primarily in stakes in Tesla, X (formerly Twitter), and SpaceX itself. SpaceX had remained a private company since its 2002 founding, meaning Musk's SpaceX holdings had been largely illiquid even as the company became one of the most valuable private enterprises in the world.

The IPO unlocked that value at scale. The community predicted the trillionaire milestone correctly, with 78 percent voting yes.